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Britain must urgently rethink its approach to food policy to protect consumers from future shocks and safeguard the nation’s future food supplies, according to a new independent report published today.
The report, Food Resilience in a Changing World, produced by London Economics and commissioned by Associated British Foods (ABF), warns that growing pressures on Britain’s food system demand a more joined-up approach from government. It calls for a new National Strategy for Food Resilience to 2050, bringing together food production, manufacturing, trade and supply chains under a new cross-government, long-term approach.
The report outlines the vital contribution of the UK's £162 billion agri-food sector, which supports approximately 4.1 million jobs, around 12% of the British workforce. Food and drink manufacturing alone contributes £39 billion to the economy, making it Britain's largest manufacturing sector. Employment in food manufacturing is roughly twice as high in the most deprived urban areas as in the least deprived, underlining its importance to communities across the country.
Despite Britain’s relatively affordable food system, the report finds that growing pressures threaten its long-term resilience. Food prices have risen by around 40% since 2020, while high industrial energy costs are squeezing manufacturers. Climate change and environmental degradation are adding pressure. Under 2° global warming, the share of high-quality farmland in England and Wales could fall from around 40% historically to just 10% by 2050, without adaptation.
It concludes that food resilience shares a number of features of public goods, requiring greater government leadership to balance competing priorities around affordability, economic growth, health, the environment and security of supply.
The report suggests that the government:
George Weston, Chief Executive Officer of Associated British Foods, said:
"Britain’s food manufacturing sector is a national success story that we should build on. The challenges facing our food system are growing and so food security can’t be taken for granted. The response requires a more joined-up and urgent approach from policymakers. That means putting food manufacturing at the heart of reindustrialisation, tackling high industrial energy costs and ensuring trade policy supports domestic production.
"We commissioned this independent research because we believe there is an opportunity to rethink how we approach food security. We hope this report provides a valuable contribution to the conversation about how government and industry can work together to secure a resilient and thriving UK food sector for generations to come."
John Curnow, Partner at London Economics, said:
"In a more volatile world, food resilience has never been more important. But building a resilient food system means balancing competing priorities, from affordability and economic growth to environmental and health objectives.
“Our research shows that resilience depends on both strong domestic production and international trade. Government has a critical role to play in identifying vulnerabilities across the food system, addressing risks and ensuring that the right policies are in place to safeguard food supplies for the future.”
The report is being launched at a parliamentary event on Tuesday 10 November, bringing together representatives from government, Parliament and the food industry to discuss the future of UK food security.
Associated British Foods is a diversified international food, ingredients and retail group with revenue of £19.6bn and 140,000 employees in 57 countries. It has significant businesses in Europe, the Americas, Australia, Africa and Asia.
Our purpose is to provide safe, nutritious and affordable food, and clothing that is great value for money. We take a long-term, patient approach to drive sustainable growth and cash generation across our portfolio of food and retail businesses to create value for all stakeholders. This aligns with our approach to sustainability and sustainable supply chains, where we focus on what matters and where we can make a difference.
For further information or requests, please contact David Wood: abf-pa@edelman.com.